Liga MX
May 9, 2022 at 1.15am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
4 - 1
Pumas

Calderon (12'), Beltran (51'), Juan Macias (87'), Vega (89')
Calderon (45+3'), Juan Macias (80'), Juan Macias (81'), Beltran (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Diogo (19')
Velarde (8'), Velarde (9'), Ruvalcaba (46'), Ruvalcaba (47'), Ortiz (71')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guadalajara 4-1 Pumas
Monday, May 9 at 1.15am in Liga MX
Next Game: Pumas vs. Tijuana
Sunday, July 3 at 6pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 22.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawPumas
52.32%24.82%22.86%
Both teams to score 50.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12%51.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37%73.63%
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19%19.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.12%51.88%
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.45%37.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67%74.33%
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 52.32%
    Pumas 22.86%
    Draw 24.82%
CD GuadalajaraDrawPumas
1-0 @ 12.04%
2-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 5.26%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 52.32%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.29%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.57%
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.53%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 22.86%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 3am
Guadalajara
3-1
Pumas
Vega (11'), Alvarado (44'), Angulo (60')
Rogerio (58')
Ruvalcaba (75'), Freire (87')
Sep 12, 2021 11pm
Pumas
0-0
Guadalajara

Meritao (55')

Briseno (63'), Cisneros (90+4')
Mar 1, 2021 3am
Guadalajara
2-1
Pumas
Macias (27'), Mayorga (37')
Torres (28')
Torres (14')
Vasquez (72'), Iturbe (74')
Nov 1, 2020 1am
Pumas
2-2
Guadalajara
Freire (18'), Gonzalez Espinola (79')
Mozo (24'), Vasquez (38'), Waller (42'), Vigon (45+1')
Mozo (87')
Uriel (6'), Molina (38')
Sanchez (42')
May 3, 2020 6pm