Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mazatlan in this match.