Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.