Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 14.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.