Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Aug 21, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
7 - 0
Cruz Azul

Sanchez (14', 15'), Rodriguez (22'), Valdes (45+9'), Martin (53'), Fidalgo (73'), Vinas (85'), Reyes Chavez (90')
dos Santos (80')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Rotondi (45+6')
Baca (45+8')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club America

Last Six:
Last Game: Pachuca 0-3 America
Thursday, August 18 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Cruz Azul

Last Six:
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-2 Tijuana
Thursday, August 18 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 14.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawCruz Azul
60.91% (0.211 0.21)24.11% (-0.102 -0.1)14.98% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 39.65% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.05% (0.16399999999999 0.16)58.95% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.57% (0.127 0.13)79.43% (-0.134 -0.13)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79% (0.14100000000001 0.14)19.21% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.1% (0.235 0.23)50.9% (-0.241 -0.24)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.08% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)50.92% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.71% (-0.042 -0.04)85.28% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Club America 60.9%
    Cruz Azul 14.98%
    Draw 24.1%
Club AmericaDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 16.13% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 13.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.32% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 60.9%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 14.98%

Head to Head
May 1, 2022 3am
America
0-0
Cruz Azul

Aquino (10'), Sanchez (33'), Fidalgo (40'), Caceres (85')

Escobar (33'), Morales (33')
Oct 31, 2021 11.05pm
Cruz Azul
2-1
America
Alvarado (45+1'), Rodriguez (90+7' pen.)
Baca (15')
Vinas (52')
Aguilera (38'), Benedetti (71')
Aguilera (90+5')
Apr 18, 2021 3.05am
America
1-1
Cruz Azul
Aguilera (40' pen.)
Sanchez (87')
Rodriguez (84' pen.)
Escobar (77'), Yotun (90+2')
Sep 28, 2020 2.45am
Cruz Azul
0-0
America

Lichnovsky (24')

Benedetti (30'), Aguilera (51')
Mar 16, 2020 2.15am
America
0-1
Cruz Azul

Suarez (45'), Aguilar (75')
Rodriguez (64')
Aldrete (83')
rhs 2.0


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