Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santos Laguna 4-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, August 7 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, August 7 at 3.05am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Juarez | 8 | -1 | 7 |
Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Tijuana
Sunday, August 7 at 6pm in Liga MX
Sunday, August 7 at 6pm in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Monterrey | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Toluca | 8 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Tigres | 7 | 3 | 15 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Toluca |
| 58.04% ( | 23.81% ( | 18.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% ( | 53.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% ( | 74.93% ( |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.81% ( | 18.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.81% ( | 49.19% ( |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.57% ( | 43.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.34% ( | 79.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
Cruz Azul 58.04%
Toluca 18.15%
Draw 23.8%
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Toluca |
| 1-0 @ 13.46% ( 2-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 3-0 @ 6.52% ( 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 4-0 @ 2.78% ( 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.31% Total : 58.04% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 2-2 @ 3.99% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 23.8% | 0-1 @ 6.59% 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 1.72% Total : 18.15% |
Head to Head
May 16, 2021 2.05am
Feb 21, 2021 1am
Cruz Azul
3-2
Toluca
Barbieri (44'), Canelo (45+1' pen.)
Juan Vazquez (16'), Estrada (55'), Sambueza (76'), Rigonato Rodrigues (90+4')
Juan Vazquez (16'), Estrada (55'), Sambueza (76'), Rigonato Rodrigues (90+4')
Form Guide


