Liga MX | Gameweek 8
Aug 14, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Azul

Cruz Azul
2 - 3
Toluca

Funes Mori (18'), Huescas (81')
Carneiro (69'), Baca (90+1'), Rivero (90+1'), Uriel (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Meneses (30'), Ruiz (43'), Sanvezzo (90+5' pen.)
Huerta (44'), Volpi (62')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawToluca
58.04% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)23.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)18.15% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.28% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)53.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (0.016000000000002 0.02)74.93% (-0.011999999999986 -0.01)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.81% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)49.19% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.57% (0.022999999999996 0.02)43.43% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.34% (0.018999999999998 0.02)79.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 58.04%
    Toluca 18.15%
    Draw 23.8%
Cruz AzulDrawToluca
1-0 @ 13.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.47%
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 58.04%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 23.8%
0-1 @ 6.59%
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 18.15%

Head to Head
Feb 21, 2022 12.05am
Toluca
1-4
Cruz Azul
Sanvezzo (20')
Rodriguez (5'), Baeza (40'), Garcia (53')
Escobar (7'), Rodriguez (64'), Gimenez (79' pen., 82')
Lira (13'), Rodriguez (24'), Escobar (57'), Mayorga (75')
Aug 15, 2021 3am
Cruz Azul
4-0
Toluca
Angulo (3', 34'), Gimenez (5'), Pineda (71')
Martinez (38'), Alvarado (77')

Ortega (37'), Baeza (76'), Torres (88')
Ortega (39')
May 16, 2021 2.05am
Cruz Azul
3-1
Toluca
Angulo (12'), Rodriguez (80' pen.), Gimenez (90+3')
Gimenez (90+5')
Canelo (14')
Juan Vazquez (34'), Baeza (39')
May 13, 2021 1am
Toluca
2-1
Cruz Azul
Canelo (27' pen.), Estrada (52' pen.)
Barbieri (40'), Sambueza (77')
Fernandez (34')
Romo (12')
Feb 21, 2021 1am
Cruz Azul
3-2
Toluca
Rodriguez (7'), Alvarado (27'), Fernandez (63')
Aldrete (32')
Barbieri (44'), Canelo (45+1' pen.)
Juan Vazquez (16'), Estrada (55'), Sambueza (76'), Rigonato Rodrigues (90+4')
rhs 2.0


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