Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 24, 2022 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
2 - 2
Puebla

Gimenez (23' pen., 26')
Rodriguez (31'), Escobar (38')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Cortizo (3'), Barragan (29')
Vazquez (46'), Cortizo (61')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlas 3-2 Cruz Azul
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Liga MX

Puebla

Last Six:
Last Game: Puebla 1-1 Club Leon
Saturday, July 16 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawPuebla
47.85% (0.815 0.81)25.87% (0.169 0.17)26.28% (-0.984 -0.98)
Both teams to score 50.35% (-1.278 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.79% (-1.295 -1.3)53.21% (1.296 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23% (-1.109 -1.11)74.77% (1.111 1.11)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)22.25% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-0.265 -0.27)55.68% (0.26600000000001 0.27)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (-1.492 -1.49)35.25% (1.493 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28% (-1.588 -1.59)72% (1.589 1.59)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 47.85%
    Puebla 26.28%
    Draw 25.86%
Cruz AzulDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.53 0.53)
2-1 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 8.86% (0.353 0.35)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.154 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 47.85%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.392 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.087 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 26.28%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 3am
Cruz Azul
1-3
Puebla
Escobar (10')
Aguilar (82')
Aristeguieta (7', 43', 78')
Maia (69')
Sep 25, 2021 2am
Puebla
1-1
Cruz Azul
Parra (14')
Angulo (38')
Yotun (40')
Yotun (55')
Jan 17, 2021 1am
Cruz Azul
0-1
Puebla

Baca (79'), Yotun (89')
Tabo (9')
Gularte (45'), Perg (64'), Silva (90+4')
Aug 1, 2020 1.30am
Puebla
1-1
Cruz Azul
Gonzalez (47')
Pineda (90+1')
Mar 21, 2020 11pm
Puebla
P-P
Cruz Azul