Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Puebla in this match.