Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 30, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan

Mazatlan
2 - 1
Puebla

Alanis (47'), Fabian (57' pen.)
Sansores (90'), Meraz (90+1'), Benedetti (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Parra (90+4' pen.)
Vazquez (17'), Maia (30'), Reyes (36'), Aristeguieta (55'), Salas (89')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Mazatlan (3-1 pen.)
Sunday, May 8 at 11pm in Liga MX
Next Game: Mazatlan vs. Puebla
Saturday, July 2 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 3-2 Puebla
Sunday, May 15 at 12am in Liga MX
Next Game: Mazatlan vs. Puebla
Saturday, July 2 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mazatlan would win this match.

Result
MazatlanDrawPuebla
36.86%27.36%35.78%
Both teams to score 49.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.2%55.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08%76.92%
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88%29.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95%65.04%
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22%29.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15%65.85%
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 36.85%
    Puebla 35.78%
    Draw 27.36%
MazatlanDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 10.69%
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-0 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.85%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.67%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 6.36%
1-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 35.78%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2021 1am
Puebla
2-0
Mazatlan
Tabo (69' pen.), Villalpando (90+5')
Ferrareis (44'), Herrera Rodriguez (47'), Ivan Rodriguez (90+3')

Antonio Padilla (56')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30am
Puebla
3-1
Mazatlan
Ormeno (45+6' pen.), Reyes Chavez (64'), Araujo (73')
Segovia (5'), Fernandez (33')
Augusto (16')
Vikonis (10'), Diaz (37'), Juan Boy Espinoza (45+1'), Aristeguieta (62'), Meraz (88')
Vikonis (45+3')
Jul 28, 2020 4am
Mazatlan
1-4
Puebla

Antonio Padilla (62')
Ormeno (10'), Escoto (90+3')
Vidrio (76')