Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 46.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Mazatlan	Draw	Cruz Azul
26.41%	27.16%	46.43%

Both teams to score 46.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.11%

57.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.4%

78.6%

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.31%

37.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.54%

74.46%

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07%

24.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.44%

59.56%

Score Analysis

Mazatlan 26.41%

Cruz Azul 46.43%

Draw 27.15%

Mazatlan	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 4.47% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.46% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.68% Total : 26.41%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 13.05% 0-2 @ 9.07% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-3 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 2% 0-4 @ 1.46% 1-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.43%