Liga MX | Gameweek 4

Jul 23, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca
2 - 1
Santos Laguna

Fernandez (11' pen.), Sierra (25')
Ruiz (45'), Angulo (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rodriguez (75')
Rodriguez (31'), Doria (88'), (90+7')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Santos Laguna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Santos Laguna
33.37% ( -0.7)	25.97% ( 0.04)	40.65% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 53.85% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.54% (

-0.31)

50.46% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.61% (

-0.28)

72.39% (

0.28)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.32% (

-0.59)

28.67% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.51% (

-0.75)

64.49% (

0.75)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

0.2)

24.51% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.03% (

0.28)

58.97% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Toluca 33.37%

Santos Laguna 40.65%

Draw 25.97%

Toluca	Draw	Santos Laguna
1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.37%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.65%