Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2021 at 1.06am UK
Estadio Corona

Santos Laguna
2 - 2
Toluca

Da Cruz (33'), Aguirre (90+6')
Da Cruz (44'), Preciado (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chavez (56'), Canelo (76')
Guadalupe Gutierrez Munoz (26'), Gutierrez (26'), Rigonato Rodrigues (34'), Vanegas (47'), Sartiaguin (90+4')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 16.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Santos LagunaDrawToluca
60.2%23.25%16.55%
Both teams to score 44.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.4%53.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89%75.1%
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.52%17.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.03%47.96%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.44%45.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.63%81.37%
Score Analysis
    Santos Laguna 60.2%
    Toluca 16.55%
    Draw 23.24%
Santos LagunaDrawToluca
1-0 @ 13.88%
2-0 @ 12.11%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 5.54%
4-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 2.18%
5-0 @ 1.07%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 60.2%
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 23.24%
0-1 @ 6.26%
1-2 @ 4.29%
0-2 @ 2.46%
1-3 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 16.55%