Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Jul 30, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
1 - 1
Toluca

Olivera (88')
Lainez (35'), Medina (69'), Rolan (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Meneses (90+2')
Ortega (40'), Rodriguez (68'), Meneses (89'), Navarro (90+6')
Saucedo (90+8')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%).

Result
JuarezDrawToluca
38.78% (0.934 0.93)28.13% (-0.559 -0.56)33.09% (-0.37 -0.37)
Both teams to score 47.12% (1.531 1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.05% (1.927 1.93)58.95% (-1.924 -1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.57% (1.47 1.47)79.43% (-1.467 -1.47)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (1.519 1.52)29.52% (-1.515 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (1.815 1.82)65.53% (-1.812 -1.81)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (0.75 0.75)33.14% (-0.745 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (0.82 0.82)69.75% (-0.81699999999999 -0.82)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 38.78%
    Toluca 33.08%
    Draw 28.13%
JuarezDrawToluca
1-0 @ 11.93% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.252 0.25)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.232 0.23)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.154 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.162 0.16)
4-1 @ 1% (0.109 0.11)
4-0 @ 0.9% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 38.78%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.727 -0.73)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.226 0.23)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.58 -0.58)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.08%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 3am
Toluca
0-1
Juarez

Castaneda (19'), Baeza (59'), Ortega (75')
Fernandez (90+5')
Garcia (66')
Jul 24, 2021 3am
Juarez
1-3
Toluca
Galvan (35')
Armoa (27')
Ortega (6'), Sambueza (63' pen.), Canelo (89')
Alejandro Rodriguez Hernandez (83')
May 1, 2021 3.30am
Juarez
1-0
Toluca
Galvan (60')
Garcia (8'), Santos (45'), Fabian (66'), Garcia (90'), Rosel (90+4')

Sambueza (34')
Sep 9, 2020 1am
Toluca
0-1
Juarez

Sartiaguin (33')
Lezcano (51')
Fabian (17'), Intriago (40')
Apr 5, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0


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