Club Leon
Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Jul 27, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Leon

Club Leon
0 - 1
Toluca


Ambriz (16'), Ambriz (17'), Montes (25'), Montes (27'), Di Yorio (35'), Di Yorio (36'), Barreiro (85'), Bellon (90+4'), Rodriguez (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alvarez (90')
Navarro (25'), Sierra (25'), Navarro (26'), Sierra (27')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Leon and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Leon

Last Six:
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 Club Leon
Thursday, July 21 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Toluca

Last Six:
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 Santos Laguna
Saturday, July 23 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Club LeonDrawToluca
63.39% (-0.061 -0.06)21.11% (0.056000000000001 0.06)15.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.02% (-0.175 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (-0.238 -0.24)46.88% (0.238 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.86% (-0.223 -0.22)69.13% (0.22099999999999 0.22)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)14.13% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.21% (-0.187 -0.19)41.79% (0.186 0.19)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.09% (-0.141 -0.14)42.9% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.79% (-0.119 -0.12)79.21% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Club Leon 63.38%
    Toluca 15.5%
    Draw 21.11%
Club LeonDrawToluca
1-0 @ 11.86% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 63.38%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 21.11%
0-1 @ 5.13% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 15.5%

Head to Head
May 2, 2022 2.06am
Club Leon
4-4
Toluca
Davila (18'), Mena (23'), Meneses (37'), Barreiro (90+3')
Gonzalez (14'), Fernandez (26'), Rodriguez (33' og.), Canelo (58')
Huerta (32'), Garcia (85')
Oct 31, 2021 6pm
Toluca
0-0
Club Leon

Vanegas (2')

Tesillo (27'), Gigliotti (87')
May 10, 2021 1am
Club Leon
2-2
Toluca
 Toluca win 4-2 on penalties
Davila (45+1'), Ambriz (89')
Castaneda (18'), Canelo (58')
Apr 5, 2021 3.05am
Club Leon
2-1
Toluca
Barreiro (52'), Mena (73')
Colombatto (27'), David Ramirez (65')
Estrada (45+3')
Sambueza (29'), Torres (51'), Barbieri (70')
Nov 8, 2020 6pm
Toluca
2-2
Club Leon
Estrada (37'), Canelo (69' pen.)
da Silva (27')
David Ramirez (30'), Montes (73')
Montes (55'), Rodriguez (60')
Aquino (14')