Liga MX | Gameweek 5

Jul 27, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

Juarez
0 - 1
Tigres

Talavera (32'), Salas (38'), Lainez (54'), Lainez (55'), Salcedo (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gignac (45+3')
Lichnovsky (39'), Quinones (50'), Quinones (51'), Gignac (64'), Gignac (65'), Guzman (68'), Fulgencio (69')
Quinones (58'), Quinones (59')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Tigres.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juarez

Last Six:

Last Game: Necaxa 1-0 Juarez
Saturday, July 23 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Necaxa	4	-1	6
9	Juarez	4	1	5
10	Cruz Azul	4	-1	4

Tigres

Last Six:

Last Game: Tigres 2-0 Atlas
Sunday, July 24 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Toluca	4	3	9
3	Tigres	4	3	9
4	Puebla	4	3	8

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tigres in this match.

Result
Juarez	Draw	Tigres
21.69% ( 0.54)	26.65% ( 0.39)	51.65% ( -0.93)

Both teams to score 43.7% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.44% (

-0.81)

59.56% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.1% (

-0.63)

79.9% (

0.63)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.92% (

0.09)

43.07% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.65% (

0.08)

79.35% (

-0.08)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.76% (

-0.75)

23.23% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.85% (

-1.11)

57.15% (

1.11)

Score Analysis

Juarez 21.69%

Tigres 51.65%

Draw 26.64%

Juarez	Draw	Tigres
1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.02% Total : 21.69%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 10% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 14.6% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 10.66% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.53% Total : 51.65%