Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Aug 7, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Corona

Santos Laguna
4 - 0
Cruz Azul

Correa (18'), Rodriguez (48'), Aguirre (52'), Orrantia (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Cruz Azul.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.

Result
Santos LagunaDrawCruz Azul
42.11% (0.603 0.6)28.36% (0.189 0.19)29.53% (-0.789 -0.79)
Both teams to score 45.34% (-0.851 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.37% (-0.903 -0.9)60.63% (0.904 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.29% (-0.686 -0.69)80.71% (0.687 0.69)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56% (-0.102 -0.1)28.43% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81% (-0.131 -0.13)64.19% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.35% (-1.096 -1.1)36.64% (1.097 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (-1.118 -1.12)73.43% (1.118 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Santos Laguna 42.11%
    Cruz Azul 29.53%
    Draw 28.34%
Santos LagunaDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 13.1% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.229 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 42.11%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.41% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 10.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 29.53%

Head to Head
Feb 28, 2022 1am
Cruz Azul
1-2
Santos Laguna
Rivero (64')
Romero (82'), Rivero (85')
Preciado (5'), Medina (90+5')
Gorriaran (45+7'), Govea (61'), Doria (69')
Aug 2, 2021 12am
Santos Laguna
1-1
Cruz Azul
Valdes (82' pen.)
Prieto (56'), Jeraldino (85')
Gimenez (64')
Escobar (7'), Passerini (24'), Angulo (35'), Guillermo Gudino Portillo (61'), Rivero (81'), Gimenez (90+4')
May 31, 2021 2.15am
May 28, 2021 3am
Jan 11, 2021 1.06am
Santos Laguna
1-0
Cruz Azul
Valdes (61')
Ocejo (4'), Torres (73')

Aguilar (7'), Baca (65')
rhs 2.0


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