Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and CD Guadalajara.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 35.88%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mazatlan would win this match.