Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 35.88%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mazatlan would win this match.