Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 13.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.08%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.