Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.