Liga MX | Gameweek 8
Aug 13, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
3 - 3
Puebla

Lopez (36'), Rodriguez (63'), Lopez (72')
Lertora (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ferrareis (38'), Altidore (85'), Reyes (90+9')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Puebla.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawPuebla
42.29% (0.042999999999999 0.04)28.54% (0.004999999999999 0)29.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.7% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.65% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)61.35% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)81.26% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)28.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)64.51% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)37.32% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)74.11% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 42.28%
    Puebla 29.17%
    Draw 28.52%
Club TijuanaDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 42.28%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.52%
0-1 @ 10.55%
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 29.17%

Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3am
Puebla
3-1
Tijuana
Corral (57' pen.), Araujo (80'), Aristeguieta (89')
Cortizo (3')
Lopez (36')
Rivera (16'), Ruiz (30')
Aug 18, 2021 3.06am
Tijuana
1-1
Puebla
Rodriguez (4')
Lorona (86')
Martinez (71')
Parra (82'), Ferrareis (88'), Maia (90+4')
Jan 23, 2021 1.30am
Puebla
0-1
Tijuana

Salas (37'), Araujo (57')
Martinez (14' pen.)
Guzman (17'), Sansores (23'), Manotas (71')
Aug 24, 2020 3.06am
Tijuana
1-0
Puebla
Angulo (33')
Rivera (70')

Ormeno (52'), Acosta (66'), (85')
Vikonis (86'), Acosta (90+2')
Feb 29, 2020 3.10am
Tijuana
0-1
Puebla

Gonzalez Pirez (36')
Barbieri (84')
Tabo (57')
Zavala (14')