Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monterrey in this match.