Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Jul 27, 2022 at 1am UK
Tecnologico

Monterrey
1 - 0
Puebla

Medina (30')
Meza (43'), Montes (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandez (34'), de Buen (41'), Martinez Gonzalez (82'), Martinez (82'), Maia (85'), Maia (86')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

Last Six:
Last Game: Queretaro 0-3 Monterrey
Friday, July 22 at 3am in Liga MX

Puebla

Last Six:
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Puebla
Sunday, July 24 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monterrey in this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawPuebla
58.2% (1.046 1.05)23.1% (-0.179 -0.18)18.7% (-0.87 -0.87)
Both teams to score 49.28% (-0.905 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11% (-0.46 -0.46)49.88% (0.457 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12% (-0.412 -0.41)71.87% (0.41000000000001 0.41)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14% (0.203 0.2)16.85% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.13% (0.363 0.36)46.86% (-0.365 -0.37)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.27% (-1.238 -1.24)40.73% (1.236 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68% (-1.129 -1.13)77.31% (1.126 1.13)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 58.2%
    Puebla 18.7%
    Draw 23.09%
MonterreyDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 12.22% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 10.88% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.46% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.129 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 58.2%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 18.7%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 1am
Puebla
1-0
Monterrey
De Buen (3')
Reyes (23'), Silva (40'), Salas (77'), Gularte (79')
Ferrareis (53')

Montes (16'), Vegas (62'), Kranevitter (65'), Pizarro (77')
Jul 26, 2021 1.06am
Monterrey
1-1
Puebla
Meza (88')
Gutierrez (75'), Vegas (82')
Gutierrez (85')
Tabo (90+2')
Araujo (87')
Segovia (42'), Tabo (90+4')
Feb 3, 2021 3am
Puebla
0-0
Monterrey

Maia (50')

Layun (61')
Nov 23, 2020 3.10am
Monterrey
2-2
Puebla
 Puebla win 4-2 on penalties
Sanchez (43' pen.), Janssen (49' pen.)
Medina (75')
Martinez (61'), Ormeno (88' pen.)
Salas (64')
Oct 17, 2020 11.06pm
Monterrey
3-1
Puebla
Sanchez (5' pen.), Loba (34'), Funes Mori (49')
Gutierrez (88')
Ormeno (67' pen.)
Arreola (81')