Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Monterrey in this match.