Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queretaro would win this match.