Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.