Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Monterrey
30.1% ( -0)	25.15% ( -0)	44.75% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.24% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.94% (

0.01)

48.06% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.78% (

0.01)

70.22% (

-0)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35% (

29.65% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.31% (

65.69% (

-0)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51% (

21.49% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.47% (

0.01)

54.53% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Toluca 30.1%

Monterrey 44.75%

Draw 25.14%

Toluca	Draw	Monterrey
1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.1%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-2 @ 7.53% 1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.86% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 44.75%