Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.