Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
CD Guadalajara	Draw	Toluca
57.18% ( -0.1)	23.37% ( 0)	19.44% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 49.69% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.02% (

0.12)

49.97% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.04% (

0.11)

71.95% (

-0.11)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.75% (

0.01)

17.25% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.44% (

0.01)

47.56% (

-0.02)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.05% (

0.18)

39.95% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.4% (

0.16)

76.6% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

CD Guadalajara 57.18%

Toluca 19.44%

Draw 23.37%

CD Guadalajara	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 57.18%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.37%	0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 19.44%