Liga MX
Oct 9, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Puebla
1 - 1
Guadalajara

Barragan (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cisneros (90+6')
Puebla win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 1-2 America
Saturday, October 1 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
PueblaDrawCD Guadalajara
37.35% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)27.11% (0.00099999999999767 0)35.54% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 50.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.18% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)54.82% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.88% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)76.12% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)28.35% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)64.09% (0.0040000000000049 0)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55%29.45% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.55%65.45% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 37.35%
    CD Guadalajara 35.53%
    Draw 27.1%
PueblaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 37.35%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.21%
0-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.53%

Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 3.05am
Guadalajara
1-0
Puebla
Vega (81')

Maia (20')
Feb 27, 2022 1am
Guadalajara
2-3
Puebla
Ponce (26'), Vega (41')
Olivas (30'), Calderon (60'), Gudino (70'), Sepulveda (88')
Vega (71')
Aristeguieta (50'), Cortizo (67'), Martinez (78')
Aristeguieta (30')
Nov 21, 2021 3am
Puebla
2-2
Guadalajara
Puebla win 5-5 on penalties
Tabo (20' pen.), Maia (89')
Parra (15'), Gularte (50'), Tabo (65'), Segovia (66')
Brizuela (6'), Mayorga (62')
Sepulveda (18'), Cisneros (39'), Brizuela (49'), Vega (65')
Jul 31, 2021 3.05am
Puebla
0-2
Guadalajara
Mayorga (55'), Brizuela (90+5')
Olivas (25'), Ponce (30'), Brizuela (70')
Jan 9, 2021 1.30am
Puebla
1-1
Guadalajara
Ormeno (37')
de Buen (49'), Paganoni (64')
Ponce (47')
Mier (82')
rhs 2.0


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