Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Sep 4, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca0 - 0Guadalajara
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and CD Guadalajara.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toluca 1-4 Pachuca
Sunday, August 28 at 6pm in Liga MX
Sunday, August 28 at 6pm in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Tigres | 12 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Toluca | 12 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 12 | -3 | 17 |
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-1 Pumas
Sunday, August 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, August 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Necaxa | 12 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 | CD Guadalajara | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 9 | Puebla | 12 | 2 | 15 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
36.39% ( 0.14) | 27.09% ( -0.01) | 36.51% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.63% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
