Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.