Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Sep 4, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
0 - 0
Guadalajara

FT
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 1-4 Pachuca
Sunday, August 28 at 6pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawCD Guadalajara
36.39% (0.14 0.14)27.09% (-0.012 -0.01)36.51% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.63% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.27% (0.058 0.06)54.73% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95% (0.048000000000002 0.05)76.04% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (0.114 0.11)28.88% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (0.143 0.14)64.75% (-0.136 -0.14)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)28.81% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.34% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)64.66% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 36.39%
    CD Guadalajara 36.51%
    Draw 27.09%
TolucaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.42% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.39%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.32% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 36.51%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 1am
Toluca
1-1
Guadalajara
Fernandez (90+7')
Huerta (19'), Gonzalez (35'), Castaneda (90+5')
Juan Macias (68')
Olivas (17'), Brizuela (29'), Juan Macias (90+1')
Cisneros (24')
Oct 17, 2021 11pm
Guadalajara
2-0
Toluca
Huerta (45+6'), Cisneros (90+5')
Sepulveda (49'), Cisneros (55'), Huerta (57'), Uriel (77')

Baeza (41'), Sambueza (44')
Jan 16, 2021 11pm
Guadalajara
1-1
Toluca
Molina (23')
Sanchez (51')
Castaneda (25')
Triverio (66'), Rigonato Rodrigues (76'), Torres (79')
Aug 23, 2020 11.30pm
Toluca
1-0
Guadalajara
Gonzalez (60')
Sambueza (61'), da Silva (69'), Mora (75')

Molina (89'), Maduena (90')
Jan 26, 2020 3.05am
Guadalajara
2-2
Toluca
Beltran (19'), Lopez (55' pen.)
Cisneros (57')
Cisneros (63')
Guemez (49'), Gigliotti (84')
da Silva (7'), Gigliotti (32'), Fernandez (58')
rhs 2.0


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