Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and CD Guadalajara.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toluca 1-4 Pachuca
Sunday, August 28 at 6pm in Liga MX
Sunday, August 28 at 6pm in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Tigres | 12 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Toluca | 12 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 12 | -3 | 17 |
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-1 Pumas
Sunday, August 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, August 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Necaxa | 12 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 | CD Guadalajara | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 9 | Puebla | 12 | 2 | 15 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 36.39% ( | 27.09% ( | 36.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% ( | 54.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.95% ( | 76.04% ( |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( | 28.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.25% ( | 64.75% ( |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( | 28.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.34% ( | 64.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 36.39%
CD Guadalajara 36.51%
Draw 27.09%
| Toluca | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 4-1 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.39% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.97% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 1-2 @ 8% ( 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.51% |
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 1am
Toluca
1-1
Guadalajara
Fernandez (90+7')
Huerta (19'), Gonzalez (35'), Castaneda (90+5')
Huerta (19'), Gonzalez (35'), Castaneda (90+5')
Oct 17, 2021 11pm
Jan 16, 2021 11pm
Aug 23, 2020 11.30pm
Toluca
1-0
Guadalajara
Molina (89'), Maduena (90')
Form Guide


