Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Aug 28, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca1 - 4Pachuca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pachuca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-0 Toluca
Sunday, August 21 at 11pm in Liga MX
Sunday, August 21 at 11pm in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Monterrey | 11 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Tigres | 11 | 5 | 21 |
Last Game: Pachuca 3-1 Atlas
Friday, August 26 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Friday, August 26 at 1.05am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | CD Guadalajara | 11 | 5 | 15 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Pachuca |
36.08% ( 0.25) | 26.29% ( 0.03) | 37.63% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
