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Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Aug 21, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alfonso Lastras

Atletico San Luis
1 - 0
Toluca

Murillo (45+3')
Gonzalez (61'), (90+6'), (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sierra (65')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atletico San Luis and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Monterrey
Thursday, August 18 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico San Luis in this match.

Result
Atletico San LuisDrawToluca
42.94% (0.41999999999999 0.42) 27.05% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 30.01% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 49.25% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.22% (0.031999999999996 0.03)55.78% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.09% (0.024999999999999 0.02)76.91% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (0.232 0.23)25.72% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.35% (0.313 0.31)60.65% (-0.315 -0.31)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (-0.261 -0.26)33.68% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-0.284 -0.28)70.34% (0.28399999999999 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Atletico San Luis 42.94%
    Toluca 30.01%
    Draw 27.05%
Atletico San LuisDrawToluca
1-0 @ 11.76% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.99% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.94%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 30.01%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 11pm
Atletico San Luis
0-1
Toluca

Juarez (3'), Waller (45+5')
Sanvezzo (4')
Garcia (13')
Rigonato Rodrigues (45+4')
Sep 26, 2021 6pm
Toluca
1-2
Atletico San Luis
Gonzalez (45' pen.)
Rigonato Rodrigues (45+3'), Torres (88'), Chavez (90+1')
Berterame (24' pen., 39')
Lozano (20'), Waller (90+4'), Waller (90+4')
Mar 6, 2021 1.30am
Atletico San Luis
0-0
Toluca

Chavez (45+1')

Barbieri (35'), Baeza (59'), Castaneda (63')
Aug 2, 2020 6pm
Toluca
3-2
Atletico San Luis
Estrada (7'), Canelo (28', 49')
Guemez (17'), Medina (24'), Sauro (48'), Maidana (82')
Berterame (12'), Ibanez (59' pen.)
Sanchez (41'), Ibanez (75'), Mayada (89'), Berterame (90+2'), Pineda (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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