Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico San Luis in this match.

Result
Atletico San Luis	Draw	Toluca
42.94% ( 0.42)	27.05% ( -0.05)	30.01% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 49.25% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.22% (

0.03)

55.78% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.09% (

0.02)

76.91% (

-0.03)

Atletico San Luis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.27% (

0.23)

25.72% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.35% (

0.31)

60.65% (

-0.31)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.31% (

-0.26)

33.68% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.66% (

-0.28)

70.34% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Atletico San Luis 42.94%

Toluca 30.01%

Draw 27.05%

Atletico San Luis	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.94%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.01%