Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico San Luis would win this match.