Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Aug 28, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Akron

Guadalajara
3 - 1
Pumas

Orozco (15'), Vega (38'), Alcala (40' og.)
Sanchez (50'), Sepulveda (60')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Diogo (3')
Diogo (18'), Alves (82')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

Last Six:
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Monterrey
Wednesday, August 24 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Pumas

Last Six:
Last Game: Tigres 1-1 Pumas
Thursday, August 25 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawPumas
57.58% (-0.452 -0.45)24.97% (0.438 0.44)17.45% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.01% (-1.096 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.55% (-1.48 -1.48)58.45% (1.475 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.96% (-1.17 -1.17)79.04% (1.164 1.16)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7% (-0.756 -0.76)20.3% (0.751 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.33% (-1.218 -1.22)52.66% (1.213 1.21)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.71% (-0.87 -0.87)47.28% (0.863 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.3% (-0.657 -0.66)82.7% (0.652 0.65)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 57.57%
    Pumas 17.45%
    Draw 24.97%
CD GuadalajaraDrawPumas
1-0 @ 15.3% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 12.2% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 57.57%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 9.6% (0.525 0.53)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.19% (0.225 0.23)
1-2 @ 4.29% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 17.45%

Head to Head
May 9, 2022 1.15am
Guadalajara
4-1
Pumas
Calderon (12'), Beltran (51'), Juan Macias (87'), Vega (89')
Calderon (45+3'), Juan Macias (81'), Beltran (82')
Diogo (19')
Velarde (9'), Ruvalcaba (47'), Ortiz (71')
Apr 24, 2022 3am
Guadalajara
3-1
Pumas
Vega (11'), Alvarado (44'), Angulo (60')
Rogerio (58')
Ruvalcaba (75'), Freire (87')
Sep 12, 2021 11pm
Pumas
0-0
Guadalajara

Meritao (55')

Briseno (63'), Cisneros (90+4')
Mar 1, 2021 3am
Guadalajara
2-1
Pumas
Macias (27'), Mayorga (37')
Torres (28')
Torres (14')
Vasquez (72'), Iturbe (74')
Nov 1, 2020 1am
Pumas
2-2
Guadalajara
Freire (18'), Gonzalez Espinola (79')
Mozo (24'), Vasquez (38'), Waller (42'), Vigon (45+1')
Mozo (87')
Uriel (6'), Molina (38')
Sanchez (42')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!