Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Oct 1, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
1 - 2
America

Reyes (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (13'), Fidalgo (90')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puebla

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 2-1 Pumas
Saturday, September 24 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Club America

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Nashville 3-3 America (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, September 22 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
PueblaDrawClub America
27.14% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)24.57% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)48.29% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.13% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.72% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.51% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)31.4% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)67.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.4% (0.011000000000003 0.01)51.6% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 27.14%
    Club America 48.28%
    Draw 24.56%
PueblaDrawClub America
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.14%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 48.28%

Head to Head
May 15, 2022 12am
America
3-2
Puebla
Martin (42'), Valdes (58' pen.), Zendejas (73')
Zendejas (33')
Reyes (45+2'), Aristeguieta (90+7' pen.)
Araujo (29'), Segovia (34'), Silva (56'), Salas (88')
May 12, 2022 3.05am
Puebla
1-1
America
Aristeguieta (55')
Salas (21'), Parra (32'), Reyes (53'), Gularte (70'), Aguilar (72'), Silva (77'), de Buen (90+1')
Caceres (81')
Caceres (36'), Valdez (59')
Jan 8, 2022 3am
Puebla
1-1
America
Araujo (45')
Reyes (23'), de Buen (70'), Ferrareis (75'), Cortizo (90+2')
Reyes Chavez (2')
Sanchez (12'), Martinez (33'), Fidalgo (90+2')
Solari (32'), Martinez (36')
Aug 8, 2021 1am
America
2-0
Puebla
Martinez (43' pen.), Reyes Chavez (54')
Layun (64'), Aquino (76')

Salas (64'), Escoto (71')
Feb 7, 2021 1am
America
1-0
Puebla
Martinez (66')

Perg (42'), Maia (45')
Perg (90+2')