Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.