Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match.