Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.