Liga MX | Gameweek 15

Sep 18, 2022 at 2am UK

Estadio Azteca

America
2 - 1
Guadalajara

Martin (4' pen.), Zendejas (51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Calderon (62')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club America	Draw	CD Guadalajara
56.52% ( 0.5)	24.2% ( -0.05)	19.28% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 47.03% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.6% (

-0.36)

53.4% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.07% (

-0.31)

74.93% (

0.31)

Club America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.24% (

0.05)

18.76% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.85% (

0.09)

50.14% (

-0.09)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.88% (

-0.72)

42.12% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.46% (

-0.62)

78.53% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Club America 56.52%

CD Guadalajara 19.28%

Draw 24.19%

Club America	Draw	CD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 56.52%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.19%	0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.28%