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Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Oct 2, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Azul

Cruz Azul
2 - 1
Guadalajara

Uriel (45+2'), Estrada (90+3')
Uriel (45+3'), Rodriguez (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Flores (69')
Sanchez (79')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Pumas 1-2 Cruz Azul
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Liga MX

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Guadalajara
Thursday, September 22 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawCD Guadalajara
43.52% (0.149 0.15) 26.74% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 29.74% (-0.099 -0.1)
Both teams to score 50.04% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.28% (0.148 0.15)54.72% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.96% (0.122 0.12)76.04% (-0.121 -0.12)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (0.142 0.14)24.95% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.41% (0.196 0.2)59.59% (-0.194 -0.19)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.33% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.05% (0.0039999999999978 0)69.95% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 43.51%
    CD Guadalajara 29.74%
    Draw 26.74%
Cruz AzulDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 43.51%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.32% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 29.74%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 3am
Cruz Azul
0-1
Guadalajara

Mayorga (54'), Escobar (66'), Rivero (73')
Calderon (58')
Alvarado (90+5')
Vega (71')
Oct 24, 2021 3am
Guadalajara
1-1
Cruz Azul
Sepulveda (90+4')
Brizuela (29'), Huerta (78'), Cisneros (89')
Rodriguez (45' pen.)
Alvarado (51'), Yotun (59'), Rodriguez (75'), Gimenez (88'), Aguilar (90+7')
Apr 11, 2021 1am
Cruz Azul
1-0
Guadalajara
Rodriguez (50')
Fernandez (45'), Escobar (45'), de Jesus Corona (45+2'), Aldrete (86'), Aguilar (90+5')
Reyes (45')

Torres (38')
Oct 25, 2020 11.30pm
Guadalajara
0-2
Cruz Azul

Villalpando (64'), Sepulveda (70')
Rodriguez (40' pen., 90+3')
Yotun (23'), Escobar (42')
Feb 16, 2020 3am
Guadalajara
1-2
Cruz Azul
Vega (25' pen.)
Beltran (40')
Rodriguez (8'), Aldrete (42')
Escobar (81'), Baca (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Club AmericaAmerica17124137142340
2MonterreyMonterrey17103427151233
3Tigres1786332181430
4PumasPumas178452718928
5CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara178362222027
6Atletico San Luis177283126523
7Club TijuanaTijuana177282423123
8Club Leon176562322123
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna177283134-323
10MazatlanMazatlan176472527-222
11PueblaPuebla176472126-522
12PachucaPachuca175751627-1122
13TolucaToluca175662319421
14QueretaroQueretaro175481829-1119
15Juarez175392434-1018
16Cruz AzulCruz Azul1752102129-817
17Atlas174581424-1017
18NecaxaNecaxa173681827-915
> Liga MX Full Table


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