Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Sep 3, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
2 - 2
Cruz Azul

Lezcano (86'), Machis (90+8' pen.)
Lainez (50'), Salcedo (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Estrada (42' pen.), Carneiro (45+3')
Carneiro (10'), Rivero (23'), Martinez (50'), Romero (59'), Luis Garcia Rivas (75'), Garcia (75'), Dominguez (85'), Jimenez (90+6')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Juarez
Saturday, August 27 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-1 Queretaro
Saturday, August 27 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 45.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 26.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
JuarezDrawCruz Azul
45.59% (0.207 0.21)28.15% (-0.423 -0.42)26.25% (0.216 0.22)
Both teams to score 44.02% (1.219 1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.65% (1.463 1.46)61.35% (-1.465 -1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74% (1.078 1.08)81.25% (-1.08 -1.08)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (0.79799999999999 0.8)26.93% (-0.8 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.74% (1.037 1.04)62.26% (-1.039 -1.04)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (1.02 1.02)39.75% (-1.022 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (0.929 0.93)76.42% (-0.931 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 45.59%
    Cruz Azul 26.25%
    Draw 28.14%
JuarezDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 14.04% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-0 @ 9.21% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.155 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.149 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.115 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 45.59%
1-1 @ 12.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.7% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 9.88% (-0.265 -0.27)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.139 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 26.25%

Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 3am
Cruz Azul
1-0
Juarez
Rodriguez (5')
de Jesus Corona (22'), Escobar (32'), Lira (51')

Esquivel (28'), Olivera (76')
Sep 11, 2021 3am
Juarez
2-1
Cruz Azul
Garcia (19'), Velazquez (35')
Acosta (16'), Gonzalez (56'), Garcia (61'), Esquivel (90')
Passerini (5')
Escobar (26'), Martinez (45+3'), Fernandez (60'), Pena (63')
Apr 3, 2021 4.30am
Juarez
0-1
Cruz Azul

Esquivel (75'), Lopez (86'), Velazquez (90+3')
Rodriguez (89')
Baca (14'), Gimenez (73'), Aguilar (90+5')
Aug 16, 2020 1am
May 11, 2020 1am