Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.