Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Sep 16, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Azul
Club Leon

Cruz Azul
2 - 1
Club Leon

Estrada (82'), Escoboza (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Huescas (57' og.)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Club Leon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, September 11 at 10pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 0-1 Club Leon
Sunday, September 11 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Club Leon win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawClub Leon
53.8% (-0.445 -0.45)23.45% (0.076000000000001 0.08)22.75% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.64% (0.073 0.07)46.36% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (0.067 0.07)68.64% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)17.16% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.6% (-0.236 -0.24)47.4% (0.236 0.24)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.42% (0.378 0.38)34.58% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.7% (0.399 0.4)71.3% (-0.401 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 53.79%
    Club Leon 22.75%
    Draw 23.45%
Cruz AzulDrawClub Leon
1-0 @ 10.45% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 53.79%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 22.75%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 3.05am
Club Leon
0-1
Cruz Azul

Martinez (14'), Rodriguez (45+3'), Davila (65')
Uriel (30')
Escobar (41'), Reynoso (55'), Dominguez (72')
Nov 4, 2021 3am
Cruz Azul
0-1
Club Leon

Romo (53'), Escobar (68'), Aguilar (78')
Rivera (31' og.)
Barreiro (58'), Cota (88'), Mena (90+1')
Feb 28, 2021 3am
Club Leon
0-1
Cruz Azul

Tesillo (12'), Mena (45+2')
Angulo (82')
Escobar (38'), Dominguez (65'), Baca (73'), Romo (78')
Aug 9, 2020 1am
Cruz Azul
2-0
Club Leon

Escobar (76')

Gigliotti (60'), Aquino (87')
Apr 12, 2020 1am