Liga MX | Gameweek 12

Sep 3, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio Victoria

Necaxa
3 - 2
Club Leon

Gimenez (34'), Batista (45'), Cota (45+3' og.)
Malagon (90+6')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Davila (90', 90+1')
Celestine (90+7')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Club Leon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Club Leon
40.07% ( -0.1)	28.4% ( -0.18)	31.53% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 45.98% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.8% (

0.71)

60.19% (

-0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.61% (

0.53)

80.38% (

-0.53)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.63% (

0.29)

29.37% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.64% (

0.35)

65.35% (

-0.35)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.1% (

0.59)

34.9% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.36% (

0.62)

71.64% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 40.06%

Club Leon 31.53%

Draw 28.4%

Necaxa	Draw	Club Leon
1-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 40.06%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.4%	0-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.17% Total : 31.53%