Liga MX | 2nd Leg
Oct 17, 2022 at 1.06am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona

Santos Laguna
1 - 2
Toluca

Gorriaran (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Meneses (47'), Mosquera (50')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos Laguna

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 4-3 Santos Laguna
Friday, October 14 at 1.06am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 4-3 Santos Laguna
Friday, October 14 at 1.06am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Santos LagunaDrawToluca
55.72% (-0.41 -0.41)23.3% (0.224 0.22)20.98% (0.181 0.18)
Both teams to score 52.27% (-0.448 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.26% (-0.728 -0.73)47.74% (0.723 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07% (-0.675 -0.67)69.93% (0.67 0.67)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03% (-0.408 -0.41)16.96% (0.403 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.94% (-0.723 -0.72)47.06% (0.717 0.72)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.95% (-0.234 -0.23)37.05% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.16% (-0.233 -0.23)73.84% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Santos Laguna 55.72%
    Toluca 20.98%
    Draw 23.3%
Santos LagunaDrawToluca
1-0 @ 11.15% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.85% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.095999999999999 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 55.72%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.187 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.148 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 20.98%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 1.06am
Toluca
4-3
Santos Laguna
Gonzalez (4'), Sanvezzo (6', 73'), Volpi (90+2' pen.)
Volpi (27')
Gorriaran (30' pen.), Preciado (38'), Aguirre (49')
Jul 23, 2022 11pm
Toluca
2-1
Santos Laguna
Fernandez (11' pen.), Sierra (25')
Ruiz (45'), Angulo (86')
Rodriguez (75')
Rodriguez (31'), Doria (88'), (90+7')
Jan 16, 2022 6pm
Toluca
3-1
Santos Laguna
Alvarez (41'), Fernandez (56'), Rigonato Rodrigues (80')
Rodriguez (21'), Ortega (37'), Garcia (76'), Fernandez (79')
Preciado (22')
Doria (84')
Oct 25, 2021 1.06am
Santos Laguna
2-2
Toluca
Da Cruz (33'), Aguirre (90+6')
Da Cruz (44'), Preciado (49')
Chavez (56'), Canelo (76')
Gutierrez (26'), Rigonato Rodrigues (34'), Vanegas (47'), Sartiaguin (90+4')
Apr 19, 2021 1am
Santos Laguna
3-1
Toluca
Aguirre (4', 17'), Otero (53')
Isijara (30')
Canelo (68')
Yrizar (45+1'), Barbieri (45+3'), Triverio (80'), Baeza (90+3')
Rigonato Rodrigues (87')