Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Sep 11, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
2 - 2
Pumas

Meneses (65', 77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dinenno (36'), Jose Gonzalez (90+6')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

Last Six:
Last Game: Tigres 3-1 Toluca
Thursday, September 8 at 1am in Liga MX

Pumas

Last Six:
Last Game: Pumas 4-1 Queretaro
Thursday, September 8 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawPumas
50.63% (0.076000000000001 0.08)24.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)25.11% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.26% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.45% (0.056999999999995 0.06)47.54% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.25% (0.056000000000001 0.06)69.75% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.2% (0.051999999999992 0.05)18.8% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.78% (0.087000000000003 0.09)50.21% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)33.17% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)69.77% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 50.63%
    Pumas 25.11%
    Draw 24.26%
TolucaDrawPumas
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 50.63%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 25.11%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2022 3am
Pumas
5-0
Toluca
Rogerio (31', 64'), Diogo (61'), Ruvalcaba (69'), Meritao (81')
Diogo (59'), Ortiz (75'), Talavera (77')

Rodriguez (38'), Sartiaguin (53')
Nov 21, 2021 11pm
Toluca
1-2
Pumas
Ortega (62' pen.)
Sambueza (2'), Estrada (23'), Garcia (83'), Chavez (90+6')
Lopez (16'), Dinenno (50')
Diogo (21'), Lopez (31'), Lira (34'), Dinenno (82'), Ortiz (85'), Corozo (90+8')
Aug 29, 2021 6pm
Toluca
2-1
Pumas
Sambueza (20'), Canelo (70')
Lopez (15'), Rigonato Rodrigues (68'), Canelo (72'), Garcia (83')
Dinenno (8' pen.)
Garcia Hernandez (56'), Lopez (56')
Mozo (15'), Garcia Hernandez (75'), Dinenno (90+7')
Feb 14, 2021 6pm
Toluca
1-0
Pumas
Canelo (88')
Barbieri (46')

Alvarez (41'), Torres (55'), Vasquez (90+2')
Oct 18, 2020 6pm
Pumas
1-0
Toluca
Garcia (75' og.)
Mozo (25')

Estrada (51'), Sauro (65'), Ortega (70')
rhs 2.0


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