Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 14.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
Tigres	Draw	Toluca
66.1%	19.73% ( 0)	14.16%

Both teams to score 50.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.38%

43.61% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.99%

66.01% (

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.67% (

12.33% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.87% (

38.13% (

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.23%

42.77% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.9%

79.09% (

Score Analysis

Tigres 66.1%

Toluca 14.16%

Draw 19.73%

Tigres	Draw	Toluca
2-0 @ 11.55% 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 6.85% 4-0 @ 4.22% 4-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.91% 5-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.3% Total : 66.1%	1-1 @ 9.37% 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.73%	0-1 @ 4.48% 1-2 @ 3.98% 0-2 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.18% 1-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.49% Total : 14.16%