Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Aug 16, 2020 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Tigres

Toluca
3 - 2
Tigres

Triverio (44'), Canelo (56', 90+2')
Lopez (12'), Gonzalez (36'), Sambueza (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gignac (39', 71' pen.)
Torres (63'), Tercero (85')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Tigres.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 53.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 23.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawTigres
23.14%23.53%53.33%
Both teams to score 54.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.74%46.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.45%68.54%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.83%34.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.14%70.86%
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.71%17.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.37%47.63%
Score Analysis
    Toluca 23.14%
    Tigres 53.33%
    Draw 23.52%
TolucaDrawTigres
1-0 @ 6.34%
2-1 @ 5.98%
2-0 @ 3.41%
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.88%
3-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 23.14%
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 5.91%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 9.77%
0-2 @ 9.1%
1-3 @ 5.72%
0-3 @ 5.32%
2-3 @ 3.07%
1-4 @ 2.51%
0-4 @ 2.34%
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 53.33%

rhs 2.0


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