Liga MX
Oct 9, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca
3 - 0
Juarez

Sanvezzo (23'), Gonzalez (46'), Ruiz (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Queretaro
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Liga MX

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Juarez 3-1 Pumas
Saturday, October 1 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 23.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawJuarez
52.32% (0.062000000000005 0.06)24.42% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)23.26% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.76% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)49.89% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12% (0.036000000000001 0.04)71.88% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (0.039000000000001 0.04)19.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39% (0.067 0.07)50.61% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)36.07% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)72.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 52.32%
    Juarez 23.26%
    Draw 24.42%
TolucaDrawJuarez
1-0 @ 11.39%
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.45% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 52.32%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 7% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 23.26%

Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3.05am
Juarez
1-1
Toluca
Olivera (88')
Lainez (35'), Medina (69'), Rolan (90+5')
Meneses (90+2')
Ortega (40'), Rodriguez (68'), Meneses (89'), Navarro (90+6')
Saucedo (90+8')
Apr 20, 2022 3am
Toluca
0-1
Juarez

Castaneda (19'), Baeza (59'), Ortega (75')
Fernandez (90+5')
Garcia (66')
Jul 24, 2021 3am
Juarez
1-3
Toluca
Galvan (35')
Armoa (27')
Ortega (6'), Sambueza (63' pen.), Canelo (89')
Alejandro Rodriguez Hernandez (83')
May 1, 2021 3.30am
Juarez
1-0
Toluca
Galvan (60')
Garcia (8'), Santos (45'), Fabian (66'), Garcia (90'), Rosel (90+4')

Sambueza (34')
Sep 9, 2020 1am
Toluca
0-1
Juarez

Sartiaguin (33')
Lezcano (51')
Fabian (17'), Intriago (40')
rhs 2.0


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