Liga MX Gameweek 15
Sep 17, 2022 3.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bryan Colula 23' goal
  • goal Camilo Sanvezzo 55'

Mazatlan vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mazatlan

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2022 10.00pm
Cruz Azul 2 - 0 Mazatlan
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Eduard Bello

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2022 3.05am
Toluca 2 - 2 Pumas
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Jean Meneses

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Mazatlan 42.63% (+0.20)
Draw 25.85% (+0.10)
Toluca 31.52% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.63% (-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.54% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 50.46% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 27.61% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 72.39% (+0.44)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5 76.49% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 23.51% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 42.45% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 57.55% (+0.18)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 70.11% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 29.89% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 34.02% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 65.98% (+0.53)

Score analysis

Mazatlan 42.63%
Draw 25.84%
Toluca 31.52%
Mazatlan
1-0 @ 10.17% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.89% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.36% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.55% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 42.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.03% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.84%
Toluca
0-1 @ 8.49% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 31.52%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 3
Jan 22, 2022 3.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Eduard Bello 29' goal
  • Ivan Moreno 56' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Sosa 73' redcard
  • Nestor Vidrio 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 3'
  • yellowcard Haret Ortega 17'
  • goal Alexis Canelo 69'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 80'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Aug 17, 2021 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Ian Gonzalez 9' goal
  • Rubens Sambueza 38' goal
  • Miguel Barbieri 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Camilo Sanvezzo 32'
  • goal Alfonso Emilio Sanchez Castillo 44'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Freitas 58'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Diaz 90'+3'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Feb 7, 2021 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Claudio Baeza 12' yellowcard
  • Alexis Canelo 19' goal
  • Alexis Canelo 30' goal
  • Rubens Sambueza 35' goal
  • Alexis Canelo 87' goal
  • yellowcard Camilo Sanvezzo 12'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Diaz 20'
  • yellowcard Carlos Vargas 29'
  • yellowcard Israel Jimenez 62'
  • goal Camilo Sanvezzo 67'
Liga MX Gameweek 3
Aug 8, 2020 3.30am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Fernando Aristeguieta 14' goal
  • Fernando Aristeguieta 29' goal
  • Jose Ortiz 40' redcard
  • goal Michael Estrada 27'
  • yellowcard Raul Lopez 88'
  • yellowcard Adrian Mora 88'