Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.