Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Aug 29, 2022 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Corona

Santos Laguna
4 - 1
Atletico San Luis

Aguirre (8' pen.), Suarez (49'), Correa (64'), Lozano (78')
Brunetta (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sambueza (90+1')
Hernandez (79')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Atletico San Luis.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.

Result
Santos LagunaDrawAtletico San Luis
54.77% (0.012999999999998 0.01)24.18% (0.356 0.36)21.04% (-0.367 -0.37)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-1.578 -1.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.73% (-1.841 -1.84)51.27% (1.843 1.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.9% (-1.631 -1.63)73.1% (1.631 1.63)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (-0.68199999999999 -0.68)18.61% (0.685 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09% (-1.162 -1.16)49.91% (1.164 1.16)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61% (-1.416 -1.42)39% (1.417 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.28% (-1.359 -1.36)75.72% (1.361 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Santos Laguna 54.76%
    Atletico San Luis 21.04%
    Draw 24.18%
Santos LagunaDrawAtletico San Luis
1-0 @ 12.2% (0.62 0.62)
2-0 @ 10.25% (0.298 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.75% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 54.76%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.521 0.52)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.241 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 21.04%

Head to Head
May 1, 2022 10pm
Atletico San Luis
1-3
Santos Laguna
Berterame (48')
Bilbao (30')
Aguirre (52'), Lozano (62'), Avila (90')
(86')
Nov 21, 2021 1am
Santos Laguna
2-0
Atletico San Luis
Preciado (65'), Jeraldino (86' pen.)
Preciado (67')

Clemente (5'), Vombergar (29'), Bilbao (90+2')
Feb 19, 2021 3am
Atletico San Luis
1-0
Santos Laguna
Ibanez (15')
Noya (35'), Gonzalez (67'), Pineda (88')
Rocco (73'), Pineda (90+3')

Acevedo (34'), Munoz (35'), Otero (55'), Prieto (75'), Ocejo (86')
Torres (90+1')
Oct 26, 2020 1.06am
Santos Laguna
2-1
Atletico San Luis
Sandoval (25'), Furch (51' pen.)
Cervantes (12')
Berterame (30')
Berterame (50'), Mayada (73'), Escalante (75')